Within 2 weeks, the country was starting to get back to work. your own Pins on Pinterest In this video, the South Korea Foreign Minister explains how her country did it. And the collateral damage is also reduced: fewer people would die from non-coronavirus-related causes because the healthcare system is simply overwhelmed. They don’t open doors with their elbow. A few weeks would give us enough time to start studying them, understand them, prioritize them, and decide which ones to follow. All of these are pretty cheap ways to reduce the transmission rate. We’re about to face the biggest wave of pressure on the healthcare system ever seen in history. Sign up. Now billing himself as "M.C. That red dotted line is the capacity we have of ICU beds. Researchers around the globe are mobilizing to understand this virus better. The floss isn't the first dance craze, so what came before it? If an outbreak like South Korea’s can be controlled in weeks and without mandated social distancing, Western countries, which are already applying a heavy Hammer with strict social distancing measures, can definitely control the outbreak within weeks. The grey bars, the true cases, had plummeted much earlier (see Chart 9). On the other, countries can fight. If you wish to support the analyzes and the work of DESC you can contribute according to your donations, by clicking or entering the amount of your choice. We have masks for just two weeks, few personal protective equipments (“PPE”), not enough ventilators, not enough ICU beds, not enough ECMOs (blood oxygenation machines)… This is why the fatality rate would be so high in a mitigation strategy. Browse more videos. VINTAGE SHOPPING FOR THE FIRST TIME! Is it too late for other countries? Our Analysis But every week, hundreds of new papers are coming. Now we know what we need to do to dance. The world has never learned as fast about anything, ever. Showtime: 21h00, JH Reflex Zaal Ravelinge How should we think about the economic and social impacts? Improving on Covid-19 Hammer and Dance. Showtime: 16h40, Groentenmarkt If 5% of your cases require intensive care and you can’t provide it, most of those people die. Zaal Ravelingen That’s the red dotted line. Coupled with his dance abilities, Hammer's style was unique at the time. If people are educated about personal distance, mask-wearing, washing hands or disinfecting spaces, they spread less virus throughout the entire period. 1:21. We will prepare better. 2940 Hoevenen Let’s just give up.” This is what many governments around the world are doing today. Internationale veldrit It’s called suppression. Will there be a second peak as big as if we didn’t do anything? Showtime: 20.30u, Kerkstraat 89 In Italy, healthcare workers represent, With a few more weeks, we could get our testing situation in order, and start testing, We could also set up a tracing operation like the ones they have in China or other East Asia countries, where they can identify all the people that every sick person met, and can put them in quarantine. That should be enough. If people are isolated as soon as they have symptoms, the contagions from the orange phase disappear. Sort: Relevant Newest # super bowl # cheetos # mc hammer # cant touch this # hammer time # dance # mc hammer # hammertime # hammer time # mc hammer # hammer time # music video # rap # hip hop # mc hammer # rap music # celebrities # mc hammer # hammer time # beast # hustle # hammer … Emerging research suggests China has already seen two strains of the virus: the S and the L. The S was focused in Hubei and deadlier, but the L was the one that spread through the world. Put in another way: the mitigation strategy not only assumes millions of deaths for a country like the US or the UK. 9820 Merelbeke, Picasso Lochristi Friday: National Emergency declared. If people are massively tested, they can be identified even before they have symptoms. How can contagion be slowed down? Let’s remember this was the worst region in China. I call the months-long period between the Hammer and a vaccine or effective treatment the Dance because it won’t be a period during which measures are always the same harsh ones. 4:11. Right now, the UK and the US have no idea about their true cases. Bungie.net is the Internet home for Bungie, the developer of Destiny, Halo, Myth, Oni, and Marathon, and the only place with official Bungie info straight from the developers. You might wonder: “That sounds like a lot. About us Nobody knows the true shape of this curve, but we’ve gathered data from different papers to approximate how it looks like. Every day after they contract the virus, people have some contagion potential. It follows his singles “Blessings” and “I’ll Find You.” Before we do that, let’s see what doing nothing would entail for a country like the US: If we do nothing: Everybody gets infected, the healthcare system gets overwhelmed, the mortality explodes, and ~10 million people die (blue bars). The Mitigation Strategy doesn’t try to contain the epidemic, just flatten the curve a bit. Hammer for a fast moment. But this doesn’t need to be so. It also secured a Best R&B Song and a Best Rap Solo Performance in 1991, a new category at the time and … Hammer", he recorded his debut album, Feel My Power, which was produced between 1986 and 1987 and released independently in 1987 on his Oaktown Records label (Bustin'). The two options that we have are mitigation and suppression. You can see that doesn’t look good: We still get huge peaks, so why bother? Weddings can’t have guests. your own Pins on Pinterest They’re not giving you a chance to fight this. Millions have been saved. They see other countries having successfully fought this, but they say: “We can’t do that!”. Follow. Step 1: Play music Play lively dance music to get in the mood for Hammer dancing. We can quickly build up our production of masks, PPEs. What they need to do is formalize the process: Understand that this is a numbers game in which we need to learn as fast as possible where we are on R, the impact of every measure on reducing R, and their social and economic costs. It’s a matter of discipline, execution, and how much the population abides by the rules. It operates on its own funds and does not receive any subsidy or funding from private or public groups. The same ones as in South Korea. Welcome to Alexa's Site Overview. Despite Bobby’s flawless performance, the judges claimed that the cha-cha got lost in translation. MC Hammer contribue aussi à la chanson, This i… Knokke-Heist, Showtime: 23u Rekelingestraat 5 - Gent, 10 jaar Café Picasso This difference is what this article will try to reconcile. One of the most important questions is: How long will this last? I call the months-long period between the Hammer and a vaccine or effective treatment the Dance because it won’t be a period during which measures are always the same harsh ones. The more the virus is growing inside you, the more infectious you are. The coronavirus is new. Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Austria, Belgium, Netherlands and Denmark all have above 1,000 cases. During the Hammer period, politicians want to lower R as much as possible, through measures that remain tolerable for the population. We just need more time. Since the article last week, the conversation has changed and many countries have taken measures. There’s so much we don’t know how to do yet! Posts about #hiphop #dance #hammertime written by grdlife1k Gemeenteschool Zulte, Oosterzele Oosterzele China’s measures were stronger. How we do it. But during the Dance of the R period, they want to hover as close to 1 as possible, while staying below it over the long term term. What’s their cost? If only 25% are sick (because the others have the virus but don’t have symptoms so aren’t counted as cases), and the fatality rate is 0.6% instead of 4%, you end up with 500k deaths in the US. The floss isn't the first dance craze, so what came before it? Just trying to transport myself back in time about 15 years to see if I am too legit to quit or not. — were cartoonish". What measures can different countries take? This article follows Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now, an article with over 40 million views translated into over 30 languages describing the urgency of the Coronavirus problem. The principal created a parody of the 1990 MC Hammer classic “Can’t Touch This” to encourage students to stay healthy at school. Your email address will not be published. Schoolfuif GBS But time is even more valuable than that. Its Hammer Time! It’s a matter of time before they see outbreaks and need to take measures. You die. What are good treatments? Spend your cash on a jet pack, unlimited grenades, and God mode. Leaders need to understand this to avert a catastrophe. Others put their hands up in the air and cry of despair. The coronavirus is still spreading nearly everywhere. You should be shocked. Only take-home acceptable. Slide your rump. Fewer cases, more understanding of the problem, building up assets, understanding the virus, understanding the cost-benefit of different measures, educating the public… These are some core tools to fight the virus, and we just need a few weeks to develop many of them. And you can do a lot of that just with a few simple measures Hammer for a fast moment. But what if all these measures aren’t enough? That depends on the toughness of the phase after the Hammer: the Dance. Now billing himself as "M.C. This blue line is broadly the current UK coronavirus strategy, although for now they’re just suggesting it, not mandating it. From the moment Bobby Bones hit the dance floor, we were intrigued. Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance - What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time There's a link to a whitehouse.gov petition at the end that you can sign. Mechelen. If we don’t do anything, the number of deaths from the coronavirus will probably land between these two numbers. PAPAYA ORIGINAL INMATE DANCERS( BJMP … Step 2: Keep legs wide Take a wide stance and wait for a good place in the music to start moving. What really causes the coronavirus deaths? Together, all these days of contagion add up to 2.5 contagions on average. You just need your R to stay below 1. Here, I used a fatality rate of 0.9%, around what we’re seeing in South Korea today, which has been most effective at following Suppression Strategy. Immediate relief for the healthcare system and the humans who run it, Ability for infected, isolated and quarantined healthcare workers to get better and back to work. Or is it more likely that rich countries are better able to identify the virus? By now, I hope it’s pretty clear we should act. It is likely that this severity stopped the epidemic faster. If they choose the epidemic, hundreds of thousands will die. It seems it already has. Instead of arresting thieves, you simply end their lives. If we choose to fight hard, the fight will be sudden, then gradual. Presented like these, the two options of Mitigation and Suppression, side by side, don’t look very appealing. Related Videos. Reggae Giddy Butterfly. The US (and presumably the UK) are about to go to war without armor. In our previous post, we explained the value of time in saving lives. No, MC Hammer apparently challenged him to one, but it never happened. But it will be close, and eventually back to normal. Wouldn’t it be dumb to commit to a strategy that throws us instead, unprepared, into the jaws of our enemy? But if they weren’t scarce, people should wear them in their daily lives, making it less likely that they infect other people when sick, and with proper training also reducing the likelihood that the wearers get infected. If we fight hard now, we will curb the deaths. On multiple themes, DESC offers various analyzes and services: CONSULTING, COACHING, LOBBYING ... © 2013-2021 Defense & Security of Congo - Wondo. Every single day we delay the coronavirus, we can get better prepared. Fabrieksstraat Sint-Lievens-Houtem, Showtime: 23u Partnership Make 'em sweat, that's what he's giving! Go with the flow. We will relieve our healthcare system. The world is finally united against a common enemy. This article is a MUST read for ever visitor of Orthogate across the world. 4:35. — were cartoonish". .. All the numbers I'm seeing in the U.S., including here in SC, are doubling about every 2 … Now, it’s largely under control. He needs some cool tunes Specifically: Under a suppression strategy, after the first wave is done, the death toll is in the thousands, and not in the millions. With Tenor, maker of GIF Keyboard, add popular Hammer Time Dance animated GIFs to your conversations. hammer time 102 GIFs. But once you move into the Dance, you don’t need to do that anymore. This is probably the single biggest, most important mistake people make when thinking about this stage: they think it will keep them home for months. The fear that everybody has is that we will be locked inside our homes for months at a time, with the ensuing economic disaster and mental breakdowns. Even if only 50% died, in a year-long epidemic you go from 500k deaths a year to 2M, so you’re adding 1.5M deaths, just with collateral damage. De Panne, CANCEL (Corona) Catchy dance tunes mixed with the extra flavour of a live band into a refreshing cocktail... Give him a song, give him a rhythm, Read “Buffalo Bills Players Dance To MC Hammer's 'Can't Touch This' To Prepare For Colts In Wild Card Game (VIDEO) ” and other NFL articles from Total Pro Sports. If you agree with this article, consider signing the corresponding White House petition. Some regions will see outbreaks again, others won’t for long periods of time. Showtime: 20h50, Veerleplein Both the catchphrase and the song title are commonly used in a variety of contexts online, including to parody images of people and animalsdoing strange dances, to celebrate victories or achievements, and as a way to quickly change a topic of an onli… What is the share of asymptomatic carriers? When you touch your nose and then open door knob, the next people to open the door and touch their nose get infected. 5 years ago | 11 views. Showtime: 18h30, Groentenmarkt Because there are so many flu strains, with new ones always evolving, the flu shot can never protect against all strains. It also gambles on the fact that the virus won’t mutate too much — which we know it does. Would you wait a few weeks to get yourself some armor before facing a mortal enemy? Kerkplein Kerksken Hammer answers buyers’ simple requests accurately and completely because they don’t come from a bot, they essentially come from you, via information we collect straight from your dealership. The chasm between these extremes is mostly driven by the fatality rate, so understanding it better is crucial. Both the catchphrase and the song title are commonly used in a variety of contexts online, including to parody images of people and animals doing strange dances, to celebrate victories or achievements, and as a … This chart is made up because it doesn’t exist today. Lecrae – Hammer Time (feat. No no no no limits! There are 4 million admissions to the ICU in the US every year, and 500k (~13%) of them die. And you can do a lot of that just with a few simple measures. Showtime: 21h40, JOC De Nartist Callant VIP lounge No social distancing measure is actually enforceable. All of this will achieve something critical: Buy Us Time. 9520 Sint-Lievens-Houtem Our activities That’s wrong. your party started! Dorp-Oost 1 - 9080 Lochristi We need to train people to assist nurses, and we need to get medical workers out of retirement. Guess who's back? Dorp West 24 - 9080 Lochristi, Coverpelt Free Fest Now we know that the Mitigation Strategy is probably a terrible choice, and that the Suppression Strategy has a massive short-term advantage. How do different social distancing measures impact the transmission rate? Clear answers to these questions will help make our response as targeted as possible while minimizing collateral economic and social damage. This idea was unfortunately entertained in the famous Imperial College paper: Do you remember this chart? Stack-rank the initiatives based on their cost-benefit. If with all these measures we’re still way above R=1, we need to reduce the average number of people that each person meets. Hammer Time Mob Dance. Search, discover and share your favorite Hammer Time GIFs. These two groups of countries illustrate the two extreme approaches to fight the coronavirus: mitigation and suppression. With fewer cases, the fatality rate starts dropping too. “Nazis are already everywhere in Europe. Kill the criminals in Hammer 2: Reloaded! Governments around the world today, including some such as the US, the UK, Switzerland or Netherlands have so far chosen the mitigation path. How does the virus spread? Kerkplein Wingene, Hoeksken Meivelling For the countries where the coronavirus is already here, the options are clear. DESC is a benchmark strategic think-tank in terms of global security, geopolitical issues, as well as legal, socio-political analyzes and economic interests of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and mid-Africa. Both of them propose to “flatten the curve”, but they go about it very differently. Once we have enough masks, we can use them outside of the healthcare system too. What if Churchill had said the same thing? And it will give it the opportunity to mutate. Right now, it’s better to keep them for healthcare workers. Funerals can’t have more than a handful of people. On Saturday, measures were taken: Some people see this as a great list of measures. No social distancing measures. If you’re a politician and you see that one option is to let hundreds of thousands or millions of people die with a mitigation strategy and the other is to stop the economy for five months before going through the same peak of cases and deaths, these don’t sound like compelling options. Enter a site above to get started. This is likely to result in a slower Hammer: more time to fully control the epidemic. Meanwhile, the Suppression Strategy tries to apply heavy measures to quickly get the epidemic under control. Découvrez Dance With The Devil [Explicit] de Hammer Time sur Amazon Music. You can see that number would peak at above 3 million. Isn’t it a bit difficult to decide what measures we need for the long term if we don’t know their cost or benefit? The best GIFs are on GIPHY. Showtime: 20h40, Fabriekstraat 19 NEW-Inmates at CPDRC dance to "Hammer Time" 08/30/08. Of lives are still at stake others won ’ t do the same question: long... 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Will suffice governments to change course mobilizing to understand this virus better keep businesses and schools closed: your. Ever seen in history them, and their contagiousness funding from private or public.! Quit or not n't groove to this, it ’ s the alternative will! In April 1990 the song hit the dance floor, we will be locked in weeks.
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